How We Rank Vehicle Safety
We believe you deserve to know exactly how we determine which vehicles make our lists. Here is our complete methodology β no black boxes, no hidden criteria.
Step 1 β Start With IIHS Awards
Every vehicle on our list must first earn the IIHS Top Safety Pick+ (TSP+) award, the highest recognition from the Insurance Institute for Highway Safety. This is our baseline filter β only vehicles that have already passed IIHS's rigorous evaluation are considered.
Step 2 β Evaluate Individual Crash Test Ratings
We then look at the vehicle's specific crash test scores. IIHS rates each test as Good, Acceptable, Marginal, or Poor. The tests we evaluate are:
"Good" in all four tests
"Good" or "Acceptable" in small overlap front and side impact
Step 3 β Factor In Real-World Death Rates
Crash tests are conducted in controlled labs. To go beyond lab results, we incorporate demographic-adjusted driver death rates β real-world data showing how many drivers actually die per million registered vehicle years, broken down by vehicle class.
We use the vehicle's class death rate (e.g., "Midsize SUVs" or "Large luxury SUVs") and compare it to the national average of 38 deaths per million registered vehicle years.
β Class-Level Rates Adjusted for Driver Demographics
IIHS class-level (vehicle-type) death rates are adjusted for driver age and sex. This partially controls for the fact that certain vehicle types attract safer or riskier drivers β for example, minivans are driven by cautious parents while sports cars attract aggressive drivers. Individual vehicle death rates (per million registered vehicle years) are not adjusted for demographics. We use the adjusted class-level rates to compare vehicles fairly across categories.
| Tier | Death Rate Requirement | What This Means |
|---|---|---|
| Top 1% | Less than 50% of national average | Class death rate must be under ~19 (per million) |
| Top 5% | Less than 120% of national average | Class death rate must be under ~46 (per million) |
Why class-based rates? Individual model death rates require years of data to be statistically reliable. Class-based rates (e.g., "Midsize luxury SUVs") are more stable and still capture the safety advantage of vehicle size and weight. Source: IIHS Status Report / HLDI research.
π Important: Driver Deaths Only
All death rates cited on this site reflect driver fatalities per million registered vehicle years. Passenger deaths are not included in these figures.
Why driver-only? Every vehicle on the road has exactly one driver, but passenger counts vary dramatically β a Mazda Miata rarely carries passengers, while a Toyota Sienna usually carries a full family. Using driver-only fatalities controls for this variable and provides the most consistent, apples-to-apples comparison across vehicle types. This is the standard metric used by IIHS in their published research.
The Safety Score (0β100)
Every TSP+ vehicle receives a Safety Score combining crash performance and real-world outcomes:
π§ͺ Crash Test Component (70 pts)
Seven tests, weighted by severity:
- Small Overlap Front β 10 pts
- Moderate Overlap Front β 10 pts
- Side Impact β 10 pts
- Headlights β 8 pts
- Front Crash Prevention β 6 pts
- LATCH Ease of Use β 3 pts
- Seat Belt Reminders β 3 pts
Good = 100%, Acceptable = 75%, Marginal = 25%, Poor = 0%. Updated tests (side, front) are used when available.
π Death Rate Component (30 pts)
Based on the vehicle's class death rate vs. the national average (38/million):
- Ratio β€ 0.3 β full 30 points
- Ratio β₯ 2.0 β 0 points
- Linear scale between
Class death rates are demographically adjusted by IIHS for driver age and sex.
Tier Criteria
π Top 1% Safest
- Safety Score β₯ 90
- IIHS Top Safety Pick+ β
- If updated side/front tests were administered: must score Good
Vehicles are NOT penalized for tests IIHS hasn't administered yet.
β Top 5% Safest
- Safety Score β₯ 85
- IIHS Top Safety Pick+ β
Vehicles that score 90+ but don't get Good on updated tests fall here.
How We Pick the Top 5 and #1 Safest
Beyond the tier system, we apply four additional filters to identify the absolute safest vehicles. These criteria go beyond crash test ratings to consider factors that affect real-world survival:
All Good β Every Subcategory
Not just "Good" overall β Good in every subcategory: structure, restraints, kinematics, injury measures.
β₯ 4,300 lbs Curb Weight
Physics: heavier vehicles protect occupants better in multi-vehicle crashes.
Brand Grade β₯ B
The manufacturer's historical track record of low death rates across its lineup. See brand grades β
2025 IIHS Criteria
Must pass the tougher 2025 tests including the updated front test with rear passenger dummy.
See our full analysis: The #1 Safest Car β
How We Sort Within Each Tier
Within each tier, vehicles are sorted by Safety Score (highest first). A higher Safety Score means better crash test results and a lower class death rate. If two vehicles share the same Safety Score, they are sorted alphabetically by make and model.
Our Data Sources
We update our rankings whenever IIHS publishes new Top Safety Pick awards or death rate data. Our code is deterministic β the same inputs always produce the same rankings.
Limitations & Further Reading
No safety ranking system is perfect. Here are the key limitations of our approach:
- Death rates partly reflect driver behavior, not just vehicle design. Minivans have low death rates partly because parents drive cautiously. Sports cars have high death rates partly because they attract aggressive drivers. IIHS adjusts for driver age and sex, which removes a significant portion of this bias β but cannot fully eliminate all behavioral factors.
- Class-level death rates mask individual model differences. Two midsize SUVs may have very different crash structures, but both inherit the same class death rate in our formula. For model-specific death rates, see our Used Car Safety Rankings.
- Crash tests cover specific scenarios. A "Good" rating in a 40 mph frontal offset test doesn't guarantee the same performance at 60 mph or in a rollover. Real-world crashes are far more varied than lab conditions.
Academic research: Economists Ben Shiller and Bhoomija Ranjan at Brandeis University have published research showing that coarse safety ratings (Good/Acceptable/etc.) hide meaningful differences between vehicles β and that continuous ratings could prevent ~1,850 US fatalities per year. Their site RealSafeCars.com takes a complementary approach, using machine learning to correct for population bias in death rates. See: "Are Coarse Ratings Fine? Applications to Crashworthiness Ratings" (Brandeis Working Paper, 2020).
Questions about our methodology? Contact us.